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We live in a world where our civilization and daily lives depend upon institutions, infrastructure, and technological substrates that are _complicated_ but not _unknowable_. Join Patrick McKenzie (patio11) as he discusses how decisions, technology, culture, and incentives shape our finance, technology, government, and more, with the people who built (and build) those Complex Systems.
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Investor and writer of the popular newsletter The Diff, Byrne Hobart, and co-host Erik Torenberg discuss today’s major inflection points in technology, business, and markets – and help listeners build a diversified portfolio of trends and ideas for the future. Topics covered: Finance, Venture Capital, Tech, AI, Crypto, and Industry Cycles The Riff is a part of the Turpentine podcast network. Learn more: turpentine.co
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Launchers is a podcast for web designers. (and people who want to become one) More specifically, people who want to build their own web design business and design their ideal lifestyle. This podcast will teach you how to start and grow your very own successful, location-independent web design business. Because being a digital nomad is SO HOT RIGHT NOW. Launchers is hosted by Patrick Antinozzi, founder and owner of RapidWebLaunch. patrick@rapidweblaunch.com
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Welcome to Lead Conversion - Behind the Scenes where your hosts Robbie T. and Valencia Brown dive deep into what it takes to be successful in Lead Conversion. Robbie and Valencia will talk about the ups and downs of generating and converting leads into sales and share tips, tricks, and strategies for being successful.
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show series
 
In this episode, Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Dave Kasten, to discuss their experiences building VaccinateCA, a charitable effort that collected, collated, and distributed vaccine distribution information during the COVID-19 pandemic. (If you Googled for the vaccine, the search results likely came from VaccinateCA’s data.) They cover the…
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This week, Byrne and Erik discuss the idea of taxing unrealized capital gains, networked nature of the finance industry, the strategic direction of Uber in autonomous vehicles, the merits of 'founder mode' and more. 🔥 Apply to join over 400 Founders and execs in the Turpentine Network: https://www.turpentinenetwork.co/ --- RECOMMENDED PODCASTS: 🎙️ …
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I had no idea how wild human history was before chatting with the geneticist of ancient DNA David Reich. Human history has been again and again a story of one group figuring ‘something’ out, and then basically wiping everyone else out. From the tribe of 1k-10k modern humans who killed off all the other human species 70,000 years ago; to the Yamnaya…
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Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Austin Vernon, a petroleum engineer, to discuss the technology and economics of fracking. Austin explains the evolution of drilling technology, the financial ecosystem supporting the oil industry – including the unique "doctor and lawyer money" funding model – and the complex interplay of mineral rights laws …
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On this week’s episode of The Riff, Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg discuss the Silicon Valley Canon, impact of tech on traditional markets, the evolution of smart contracts, risks of currency carry trades and more. 🔥 Apply to join over 400 Founders and execs in the Turpentine Network: https://www.turpentinenetwork.co/ --- RECOMMENDED PODCASTS: 🎙️ …
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Chatted with Joe Carlsmith about whether we can trust power/techno-capital, how to not end up like Stalin in our urge to control the future, gentleness towards the artificial Other, and much more. Check out Joe's sequence on Otherness and Control in the Age of AGI here. Watch on YouTube. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or any other podcast platf…
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On this week’s episode of The Riff, Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg discuss tricky antitrust decisions, Balaji’s Network State, the dynamics of content moderation, and more. 🔥Apply to join over 400 founders and execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogxqz0y.typeform.com/to/JCkphVqj --- RECOMMENDED PODCASTS: 🎙️ This Won't Last - Eavesdrop on K…
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In this episode, Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Dan Davies, author of Lying for Money, and The Unaccountability Machine. They discuss how cybernetics–the study of control and communication in complex systems–applies to modern organizations and decision-making. Dan and Patrick discuss how organizations change as they grow, financial fraud a…
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In episodes 121 and #5 of the Watch the Femmes series, we welcome Kasia Niewadoma on to the TPR Podcast. Kasia and I discussed how she deals with internal pressures, especially after experiencing numerous near misses and podium finishes in recent years. We explored the changes Kasia made in her training that led to her successful 2024 season, culmi…
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In episode 120 and #4 of the Watch the Femmes series, we welcome back one of our OG guests and climbing stars, Sarah Gigante. Sarah has settled into the European peloton this season after her stellar Tour Down Under campaign and is currently riding the Tour de France Femmes avec Zwift. In this episode, Sarah and I catch up to discuss her preparatio…
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In episode 119 & #3 of the Watch the Femmes series, we catch up with Neve Bradbury from Canyon Sram. Neve is currently at the Tour de France Femmes after achieving a stellar 3rd place on GC in the Giro D’Italia, along with a huge stage win on the queen stage. We discussed the target stages for the TDFF, including some intense reconnaissance session…
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Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Casey Handmer, rocket scientist turned CEO of Terraform Industries. Casey discusses the rapid advancements in solar power, the bureaucratic challenges of NASA, the incomprehensible success of SpaceX, and the evolving energy landscape. Casey touches on his experiences at JPL revealing how the organization’s fe…
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This week, Byrne and Erik discuss Meta’s open source strategy, Google’s hiring of Character.AI’s CEO, the calculus behind the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and more. 🔥Apply to join over 400 founders and execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogxqz0y.typeform.com/to/JCkphVqj --- RECOMMENDED PODCASTS: 🎙️ This Won't Last - Eavesdrop on Keith Rabo…
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In episode 118 and #2 of our Watch The Femmes series, we catch up with Ashleigh Moolman-Pasio from AG-Insurance Soudal. Ashleigh is one of the best climbers in the peloton and a legend of the sport. In this episode, we discuss the origins of the Tour de France Femmes and how COVID-19 and Zwift played a huge part in making it happen. We discuss the …
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In episode 117 & #1 in our Watch The Femmes series, we catch up with Ruby Roseman-Gannon, the leader of Liv Alula Jayco for this year's Tour de France Femmes. Ruby and I start by discussing the Olympics' importance in road cycling and how it compares to the Tour de France Femmes. We then chat about the first few stages in Rotterdam and how they may…
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This week, Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg are joined by Omar Shams, the founder of Mutable AI, for a deep dive into Omar’s great piece, The AI Organization. In this conversation, they explore the potential of AI to transform organizational productivity, the limitations of financial metrics in GDP, and AI's role in political processes and societal …
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In this episode, Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Zvi Mowshowitz (TheZvi) to discuss his wide-ranging career as a professional Magic: The Gathering player, sports gambler, equities trader, public intellectual on the covid-19 epidemic, and AI-focused journalist. They go into depth on how trading happens in less formal markets with lessons tha…
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In episode 116, I catch up with the multi-talented Dutch star, Puck Moonen. Puck and I discuss all of her favourite things, such as Formula 1, Moto GP, bike racing, training, and more. We also have a bit of fun chatting about the crazy experiences Puck has had throughout her promotional work and the downright weird ones too. We hear about the most …
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In episode 115, I catch up with Paul Collins, the head of performance excellence for AusCycling. Paul and I discuss the Australian Team Pursuit campaign ahead of the track events at the Olympics in Paris this week. We talk about the lessons learned since Tokyo, plans for Australia's "upgrade package" and the developments in track cycling across all…
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Valencia Brown and Robby T dive into the intricacies of maintaining consistent lead generation amidst the whirlwind of daily life. They discuss practical strategies to ensure that important lead-generation activities do not fall by the wayside despite the distractions and challenges that come with professional and personal responsibilities. Valenci…
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This week, Byrne Hobart is joined by Patrick McKenzie (patio11), host of the podcast Complex Systems, to discuss the complexity and endless fascination of financial infrastructures, the role of fraud in finance, talent spotting strategies and the importance of building networks. 🔥Apply to join over 400 founders and execs in the Turpentine Network: …
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In this episode, Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Stephen Grugett, a co-founder of Manifold, to discuss prediction markets. They cover how prediction markets work, their efficiency in aggregating information, and why they serve as a minority report against prevailing narratives. They cover past controversies, potential risks, and the philoso…
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### Podcast Title "Navigating Complex Systems: From Software Engineering to Real Estate" ### Summary In this episode of Narratives, host William Jarvis is joined by co-host Lars Doucet and special guest Patrick McKenzie. Patrick shares his journey from moving to Japan due to a misleading Wall Street Journal article to becoming a notable figure in t…
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In episode 114, I catch up with besties Alex Manly and Georgia Baker ahead of their Paris Olympics campaign on the track for Australia. We discuss the interesting things about the Olympic games such as the rooms, kits and strange items the athletes receive. Alex and Georgia explain the preparation for the games that the Teams Pursuit squad have bee…
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This week, Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg discuss the resurgence of prediction markets, the balance of sophisticated vs. 'dumb' money, Biden's nomination odds and the impact of AI on software economics. 🔥Apply to join over 400 founders and execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogxqz0y.typeform.com/to/JCkphVqj --- SPONSORS: BABBEL: 🌐 Ready t…
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Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Kelsey Piper, a journalist for Vox’s Future Perfect. Kelsey recently reported on equity irregularities at OpenAI in May of 2024, leading to an improvement of their policies in this area. We discuss the social function of equity in the technology industry, why the tech industry and reporters have had a frosty …
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I talked with Patrick McKenzie (known online as patio11) about how a small team he ran over a Discord server got vaccines into Americans' arms: A story of broken incentives, outrageous incompetence, and how a few individuals with high agency saved 1000s of lives. Enjoy! Watch on YouTube. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or any other podcast platf…
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In episode 113, I catch up with former professional turned director sportiv (DS) Jess Allen. Jess and I discuss her transition from road captain to DS and everything she has learned so far as we head towards the biggest women’s race of the year, the Tour de France Avec Zwift. Thanks to our sponsors who support the production of the TPR Cycling Podc…
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Valencia Brown and Robbie T host Laura Gill on "Behind the Scenes of Lead Conversion." Laura, a top real estate agent from New Jersey, reveals her refusal to cold call, instead mastering direct mail marketing to convert leads. She discusses her two-part listing strategy, the importance of consistent branding, and how her mailers yield high-quality …
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On this week’s episode of The Riff, Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg discuss how the 2024 presidential election has changed, why Wikipedia’s partisanship problem is difficult to solve, and the strategy behind Amazon’s media business. 🔥Apply to join over 400 founders and execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogxqz0y.typeform.com/to/JCkphVqj --…
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Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Byrne Hobart to discuss Byrne’s vantage point as writer of The Diff, a tech and finance newsletter. Byrne explains the toxicity of the 30-year mortgage, the dynamics of the finance newsletter ecosystem, how rationalist epistemics can be applied to hedge funds, and the joy of learning about an industry from sc…
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In episode 112, I chat with the absolute A1 huma, Kim Cadzow. In just her second year on the WWT, Kim has already amassed amazing results, such as 6th in LBL, 10th on GC at the Vuelta, and 8th on GC at Suisse. Not only is Kim Cadzow a huge talent, but she is also an awesome chat! Kim and I discussed EF’s new co-sponsor, Oatly, and what it’s like to…
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This week, Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg dive deep into David Graeber's controversial concept of 'Bullshit Jobs,' exploring its validity and impact. They also discuss the future of labor and employment in the era of AI, the intricate dynamics of globalization, and the complexities of corporate governance. 🔥Apply to join over 400 founders and exec…
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Patrick McKenzie (patio11) and Ricki Heicklen discuss Ricki’s innovative approaches to teaching trading. Trading is traditionally taught only by practitioners, to practitioners. The curricula that trading firms use are not published externally, to avoid empowering competitors. Ricki explains how she teaches trade mechanics, how markets and traders …
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In episode 111, we chat to Antonia Niedermaier, the young climbing sensation from Canyon-Sram. Antonia burst on to the scene this time last year, winning a mountain stage at the Giro at just 20 years of age before winning the U/23 ITT World Title. We learn more about Antonia’s road to the World Tour, her hometown and hobbies, and how ski-mountainee…
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In this Lead Conversion - Behind the Scenes episode, Valencia Brown and Robby T welcome Patrick Keller from Indianapolis, Indiana. The discussion unveils Patrick’s unique yet straightforward strategies that enable him to consistently sell 150 homes annually, even in fluctuating markets. Robby T praises Patrick, highlighting that his approach is ref…
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On this week's episode of The Riff, Erik and Byrne discuss the evolution of monetary systems, the economics of AI investments, and how AI is impacting the job market for junior software developers. 🔥Apply to join over 400 founders and execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogxqz0y.typeform.com/to/JCkphVqj --- SPONSORS: BABBEL: 🌐 Ready to achi…
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Episode 110 brings us a unique discovery in the world of women’s cycling. Kim (Le Court) Pienaar. Kim, a rider racing for AG Insurance Soudal, is a true hidden gem from Mauritius. In this episode, we delve into the fascinating journey of Kim, from her triumph at the Cape Epic to her renaissance in professional road cycling with AG. Her instant succ…
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This week, Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg discuss a lesser-known Chamath Palihapitiya story, the index rebalancing trade as a postmodern part of finance, AI labs, crypto, and more. beehiiv: Head to https://beehiiv.com and use code "MOZ" for 20% off your first three months. Byrne Hobart is hiring an associate! Check out the JD here: https://www.the…
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I chatted with Tony Blair about: - What he learned from Lee Kuan Yew - Intelligence agencies track record on Iraq & Ukraine - What he tells the dozens of world leaders who come seek advice from him - How much of a PM’s time is actually spent governing - What will AI’s July 1914 moment look like from inside the Cabinet? Enjoy! Watch the video on You…
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Delve into the nuances of lead conversion with Valencia Brown, Robby T, and special guest Matt McKenzie, a seasoned expert in the field. Explore strategies for building genuine client relationships, overcoming sales resistance, and maintaining motivation amid industry challenges. Matt shares personal insights from his journey, emphasizing the impor…
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This week, writer Byrne Hobart and investor Erik Torenberg discuss the economics of conferences and cities, rise of meme stocks, future of coding in the age of AI and more. beehiiv: Head to https://beehiiv.com and use code "MOZ" for 20% off your first three months. 🔥 Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplo…
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On this week's episode of The Riff, Erik and Byrne discuss populist cycles, why billionaires buy media companies, how to invest if you think AGI is coming soon, and more. beehiiv: Head to https://beehiiv.com and use code "MOZ" for 20% off your first three months. 🔥 Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmplogx…
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Here is my conversation with Francois Chollet and Mike Knoop on the $1 million ARC-AGI Prize they're launching today. I did a bunch of socratic grilling throughout, but Francois’s arguments about why LLMs won’t lead to AGI are very interesting and worth thinking through. It was really fun discussing/debating the cruxes. Enjoy! Watch on YouTube. Lis…
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Valencia Brown and Robby T dive into strategies for excelling in the real estate game this year. Robby emphasizes setting more appointments and prioritizing core motivations over objections, while Valencia underscores the importance of maintaining a positive attitude and surrounding yourself with supportive people. They discuss handling unrealistic…
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On this week's episode of The Riff, Erik and Byrne discuss Elon Musk's and Yann Lecun's Tweets, what we can learn from Google's API decumentation leaks, how Apple is planning on improving Siri, and more. beehiiv: Head to https://beehiiv.com and use code "MOZ" for 20% off your first three months. 🔥 Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Tu…
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Chatted with my friend Leopold Aschenbrenner on the trillion dollar nationalized cluster, CCP espionage at AI labs, how unhobblings and scaling can lead to 2027 AGI, dangers of outsourcing clusters to Middle East, leaving OpenAI, and situational awareness. Watch on YouTube. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or any other podcast platform. Read the …
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On this week's episode of The Riff, Erik and Byrne talk about xAI's fundraising round, Vivek Ramaswamy's investment in BuzzFeed, and the dynamics of using ads to monetize AI. beehiiv: Head to https://beehiiv.com and use code "MOZ" for 20% off your first three months. 🔥 Apply to join over 400 founders and Execs in the Turpentine Network: https://hmp…
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In episode 109, I catch up with Arvid de Kleijn, the Dutch sprinter from Tudor Pro Cycling. In the last two years, Arvid has forged himself as one of the top sprinters in the World Tour. We discuss his unconventional journey to the top flight. Arvid explains what makes the likes of Milan, Philipsen, and Merlier a cut above the rest and how importan…
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Join hosts Valencia and Robby as they chat with Robbie Stewart, an experienced ISA in the real estate industry. Robbie shares her journey into lead conversion and the challenges she faced as an ISA. She emphasizes the importance of being real, understanding the client's perspective, and building trust. The conversation also touches on the role of A…
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