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Moody's Investors Service에서 제공하는 콘텐츠입니다. 에피소드, 그래픽, 팟캐스트 설명을 포함한 모든 팟캐스트 콘텐츠는 Moody's Investors Service 또는 해당 팟캐스트 플랫폼 파트너가 직접 업로드하고 제공합니다. 누군가가 귀하의 허락 없이 귀하의 저작물을 사용하고 있다고 생각되는 경우 여기에 설명된 절차를 따르실 수 있습니다 https://ko.player.fm/legal.
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Moody's Talks - Emerging Markets Decoded
모두 재생(하지 않음)으로 표시
Manage series 2944770
Moody's Investors Service에서 제공하는 콘텐츠입니다. 에피소드, 그래픽, 팟캐스트 설명을 포함한 모든 팟캐스트 콘텐츠는 Moody's Investors Service 또는 해당 팟캐스트 플랫폼 파트너가 직접 업로드하고 제공합니다. 누군가가 귀하의 허락 없이 귀하의 저작물을 사용하고 있다고 생각되는 경우 여기에 설명된 절차를 따르실 수 있습니다 https://ko.player.fm/legal.
Moody’s experts from around the globe and external guests join hosts Scott Phillips and Vittoria Zoli discuss macro, financial and credit trends shaping the world of emerging markets. Published by Moody’s Investors Service.
…
continue reading
110 에피소드
모두 재생(하지 않음)으로 표시
Manage series 2944770
Moody's Investors Service에서 제공하는 콘텐츠입니다. 에피소드, 그래픽, 팟캐스트 설명을 포함한 모든 팟캐스트 콘텐츠는 Moody's Investors Service 또는 해당 팟캐스트 플랫폼 파트너가 직접 업로드하고 제공합니다. 누군가가 귀하의 허락 없이 귀하의 저작물을 사용하고 있다고 생각되는 경우 여기에 설명된 절차를 따르실 수 있습니다 https://ko.player.fm/legal.
Moody’s experts from around the globe and external guests join hosts Scott Phillips and Vittoria Zoli discuss macro, financial and credit trends shaping the world of emerging markets. Published by Moody’s Investors Service.
…
continue reading
110 에피소드
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1 Emerging market credit conditions will continue gradual, fragile improvement in 2025 20:52
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Corporate and sovereign default rates are decreasing as GDP growth, slowing inflation and monetary easing aid debt management. But EMs face a number of credit risks including potential US tariffs. Guest : Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody’s Ratings Host : Colin Ellis, Managing Director, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody’s Ratings Related Research : Emerging Markets – Global: 2025 Outlook - Stable but fragile, with looming credit risks…
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1 How the US election could shape global credit conditions 19:58
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In this joint Big Picture-Emerging Markets Decoded episode, our regional analysts highlight the key US policy areas to watch in Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America -- and discuss which economies and sectors could be at risk if policies were to dramatically change. Guests : Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings; Gong Cheng, Managing Director, Credit Strategy, Moody's Ratings; Ariane Ortiz-Bollin, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy, Moody's Ratings Host : William Foster, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings…
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1 Positive credit stories emerging in a handful of Sub-Saharan African countries 17:19
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Institutional reforms, policy reversals, debt restructurings and the prospect of new hydrocarbon production are leading to gradual improvement in some sovereigns’ creditworthiness from weak levels. Guest : John Walsh, Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings Host : Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody's Ratings Related Research : Sovereign – Sub-Saharan Africa: Governance is key to realising credit benefits for new hydrocarbon producers Sovereign – Sub-Saharan Africa: Institutional reforms are supporting creditworthiness for select sovereigns…
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1 Geopolitical risk shapes creditworthiness for host of APAC governments 14:30
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Risk exposure is highest for those directly involved in the region’s three main hotspots. But the knock-on economic effects of the tensions have the potential to hurt, or help, other APAC governments. Guest : Anushka Shah, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings Host : Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody's Ratings Related Research : Sovereigns – Asia-Pacific: Geopolitical risk shapes creditworthiness for a host of governments…
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1 Corporate credit quality in India, Indonesia remains robust despite sectoral differences 14:30
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India's large domestic market shields its companies from external shocks, whereas Indonesia's export-dependent commodity sector prompts government efforts to diversify growth. Guests: Rachel Chua, VP-Senior Analyst; Sweta Patodia, AVP-Analyst Host : Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody's Ratings Related Research: Nonfinancial Companies – India and Indonesia: Credit quality will remain robust, even as earnings trajectory diverges Nonfinancial Companies – Southeast Asia Dollar bond issuance will regain momentum when US interest rates begin to fall Nonfinancial Companies – India: Offshore funding indispensable despite improving domestic liquidity…
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1 Latin American national oil companies face hurdles in reducing greenhouse gas emissions 14:39
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Challenges include the region’s reliance on fossil fuels to meet energy demand amid population growth, the companies’ weak financials and governments’ reliance on revenue from oil and gas producers. Guests : Roxana Munoz and Carolina Chimenti, both Vice President - Senior Analysts, Corporate Finance Group, Moody's Ratings Host : Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody's Ratings Related research : Oil & Gas – Latin America & Caribbean: National oil companies struggle to reconcile governments' emission-reduction goals…
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1 Central bank push to tame inflation boosts credit quality of Turkish sovereign, companies 14:24
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Rate hikes in Turkiye have slowed inflation, and confidence in the country’s currency is increasing. The sovereign’s creditworthiness is improving as a result, along with that of Turkish companies. Guests : Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings; Iker Ballestero Barrutia, Analyst, Corporate Finance Group, Moody's Ratings Host : Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody's Ratings Related Research : Moody's Ratings takes rating actions on eight Turkish corporates following upgrade of Turkiye sovereign rating Government of Turkiye – B1 positive: Update following upgrade to B1, outlook remains positive Government of Turkiye: Macro-financial monitor: CBRT tightening shows first results, but more is needed to moderate inflation Moody's Ratings upgrades Turkiye's ratings to B1, maintains positive outlook Government of Turkiye: Announced policy shift is credit positive but implementation comes with challenges…
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1 Kenya protests highlight transmission of social risk to sovereign creditworthiness 13:50
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The opposition to proposed tax hikes impedes the government’s ability to increase revenue and reduce debt. Similar risks exist for other emerging market sovereigns too. Guest : David Rogovic, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings Host : Scott Phillips, Head of Emerging Markets, Credit Strategy and Research, Moody’s Ratings Related Research : Moody's Ratings downgrades Kenya's ratings to Caa1; maintains negative outlook Government of Kenya: Protests against Finance Bill's tax measures challenge government's fiscal consolidation strategy Government of Kenya: Kenya's IMF agreement bolsters short-term liquidity; fiscal consolidation is key to improving credit quality Sovereigns – Sub-Saharan Africa: 2024 Outlook - Negative on large debt maturities amid tight funding conditions…
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1 Steady GDP growth continues for emerging markets, with wide variation by country 19:57
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We have revised our aggregate EM forecast up slightly to 3.9% for 2024-25 to reflect faster-than-expected growth in some of the largest EMs so far this year. Disinflation continues but is slowing. Speaker : Madhavi Bokil, Senior Vice President, Credit Strategy at Moody's Ratings Host : Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Emerging Markets at Moody’s Ratings Related Research : Emerging Markets – Global: GDP growth stays solid; disinflation slows Global Macro Outlook 2024-25 (May 2024 update): G-20 momentum persists in 2024 with disinflation and cooler growth ahead…
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1 South Africa’s creditworthiness with a new coalition government 12:30
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The creation of a coalition government following 29 May elections will likely support broad policy continuity and reforms, but the risk of government instability and ineffectiveness is significant. Guest : Aurelien Mali, Vice President-Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings Host : Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Credit Strategy & Research, Moody's Ratings Related research : Government of South Africa: National unity government will likely support broad policy continuity and the pursuit of economic reforms…
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1 Views from Moody’s Global Emerging Markets 2024 virtual event 14:32
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Moody’s Ratings experts discuss the fragile recovery and new threats in EMs, including macro conditions, default trends, credit risks for sovereigns and corporates, and bright spots. Host : Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research : Fragile recovery in EM credit conditions will continue Emerging Markets – Global: Local currency bond markets are growing fast, a credit-positive trend for debt issuers Sovereigns – Emerging Markets: Favorable financing conditions will not solve structural credit challenges Government-Related Issuers – Emerging Markets: GRIs’ standalone credit strength and government support vary widely across EMs Banks – Emerging Markets: Asset-quality risk is receding but remains high in several countries To learn more, visit the Emerging Markets topic page .…
Join Scott Phillips, head of EM at Moody’s Ratings, and Maciej Woznica, portfolio manager at asset management firm Coeli, for a tour of the least-developed emerging markets. Guest : Maciej Woznica, Portfolio Manager, Coeli Host : Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Gradual recovery in emerging market credit conditions will continue (infographic)…
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1 Speculative-grade default rate for emerging market companies improves with macro conditions 13:56
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The default rate will decline to 3.3% by the end of Q1 2025, far below the peak of nearly 15% at the end of 2022 which was driven by the Russia-Ukraine war and China’s property market woes. Guest : Yang Liu, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Moody's Ratings Host : Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research : Corporates – Emerging Markets: EM corporate default rate will fall further in 2024 and approach advanced economy rate Default Trends – Global: Annual default study: Corporate default rate to moderate in 2024 but remain near its long-term average…
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1 Middle East: from geopolitical tensions to Islamic finance 15:59
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Moody’s analysts discuss the increased risk for sovereigns from escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict, and then shift to the growing demand for Islamic finance. Guests : Christian Fang, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings; Badis Shubailat, Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Financial Institutions Group, Moody’s Ratings Host : Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Emerging Markets, Moody’s Ratings Related research : Tail risks from Israel-Iran conflict pose a major threat to sovereigns regionally and globally Islamic finance sector will retain strong momentum in 2024 Sukuk issuance to decline again in 2024 before stabilizing in 2025 Strong US dollar sukuk issuance is positive for companies' capital raising efforts Islamic finance's adoption of blockchain could be beneficial, but faces crucial barriers…
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1 EM macro conditions are improving unevenly as GDP growth stabilizes and inflation slows 11:11
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Growth will slow in 2024 then stabilize in 2025 in most emerging markets. We have raised our forecasts for Asia, Central-Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa but lowered them for Latin America. Host : Scott Phillips, Head of Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings Speaker : Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings…
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