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LessWrong에서 제공하는 콘텐츠입니다. 에피소드, 그래픽, 팟캐스트 설명을 포함한 모든 팟캐스트 콘텐츠는 LessWrong 또는 해당 팟캐스트 플랫폼 파트너가 직접 업로드하고 제공합니다. 누군가가 귀하의 허락 없이 귀하의 저작물을 사용하고 있다고 생각되는 경우 여기에 설명된 절차를 따르실 수 있습니다 https://ko.player.fm/legal.
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“The Most Common Bad Argument In These Parts” by J Bostock

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Manage episode 513157255 series 3364760
LessWrong에서 제공하는 콘텐츠입니다. 에피소드, 그래픽, 팟캐스트 설명을 포함한 모든 팟캐스트 콘텐츠는 LessWrong 또는 해당 팟캐스트 플랫폼 파트너가 직접 업로드하고 제공합니다. 누군가가 귀하의 허락 없이 귀하의 저작물을 사용하고 있다고 생각되는 경우 여기에 설명된 절차를 따르실 수 있습니다 https://ko.player.fm/legal.
I've noticed an antipattern. It's definitely on the dark pareto-frontier of "bad argument" and "I see it all the time amongst smart people". I'm confident it's the worst, common argument I see amongst rationalists and EAs. I don't normally crosspost to the EA forum, but I'm doing it now. I call it Exhaustive Free Association.
Exhaustive Free Association is a step in a chain of reasoning where the logic goes "It's not A, it's not B, it's not C, it's not D, and I can't think of any more things it could be!"[1] Once you spot it, you notice it all the damn time.
Since I've most commonly encountered this amongst rat/EA types, I'm going to have to talk about people in our community as examples of this.
Examples
Here's a few examples. These are mostly for illustrative purposes, and my case does not rely on me having found [...]
---
Outline:
(00:55) Examples
(01:08) Security Mindset
(01:25) Superforecasters and AI Doom
(02:14) With Apologies to Rethink Priorities
(02:45) The Fatima Sun Miracle
(03:14) Bad Reasoning is Almost Good Reasoning
(05:09) Arguments as Soldiers
(06:29) Conclusion
(07:04) The Counter-Counter Spell
The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
---
First published:
October 11th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/arwATwCTscahYwTzD/the-most-common-bad-argument-in-these-parts
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
  continue reading

632 에피소드

Artwork
icon공유
 
Manage episode 513157255 series 3364760
LessWrong에서 제공하는 콘텐츠입니다. 에피소드, 그래픽, 팟캐스트 설명을 포함한 모든 팟캐스트 콘텐츠는 LessWrong 또는 해당 팟캐스트 플랫폼 파트너가 직접 업로드하고 제공합니다. 누군가가 귀하의 허락 없이 귀하의 저작물을 사용하고 있다고 생각되는 경우 여기에 설명된 절차를 따르실 수 있습니다 https://ko.player.fm/legal.
I've noticed an antipattern. It's definitely on the dark pareto-frontier of "bad argument" and "I see it all the time amongst smart people". I'm confident it's the worst, common argument I see amongst rationalists and EAs. I don't normally crosspost to the EA forum, but I'm doing it now. I call it Exhaustive Free Association.
Exhaustive Free Association is a step in a chain of reasoning where the logic goes "It's not A, it's not B, it's not C, it's not D, and I can't think of any more things it could be!"[1] Once you spot it, you notice it all the damn time.
Since I've most commonly encountered this amongst rat/EA types, I'm going to have to talk about people in our community as examples of this.
Examples
Here's a few examples. These are mostly for illustrative purposes, and my case does not rely on me having found [...]
---
Outline:
(00:55) Examples
(01:08) Security Mindset
(01:25) Superforecasters and AI Doom
(02:14) With Apologies to Rethink Priorities
(02:45) The Fatima Sun Miracle
(03:14) Bad Reasoning is Almost Good Reasoning
(05:09) Arguments as Soldiers
(06:29) Conclusion
(07:04) The Counter-Counter Spell
The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
---
First published:
October 11th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/arwATwCTscahYwTzD/the-most-common-bad-argument-in-these-parts
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
  continue reading

632 에피소드

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