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Guy Ellis and Moz Afzal에서 제공하는 콘텐츠입니다. 에피소드, 그래픽, 팟캐스트 설명을 포함한 모든 팟캐스트 콘텐츠는 Guy Ellis and Moz Afzal 또는 해당 팟캐스트 플랫폼 파트너가 직접 업로드하고 제공합니다. 누군가가 귀하의 허락 없이 귀하의 저작물을 사용하고 있다고 생각되는 경우 여기에 설명된 절차를 따르실 수 있습니다 https://ko.player.fm/legal.
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EP 78: Exploring the Dynamics of the US Economy with Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert | 7th August 2023

53:14
 
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Manage episode 374251320 series 3450202
Guy Ellis and Moz Afzal에서 제공하는 콘텐츠입니다. 에피소드, 그래픽, 팟캐스트 설명을 포함한 모든 팟캐스트 콘텐츠는 Guy Ellis and Moz Afzal 또는 해당 팟캐스트 플랫폼 파트너가 직접 업로드하고 제공합니다. 누군가가 귀하의 허락 없이 귀하의 저작물을 사용하고 있다고 생각되는 경우 여기에 설명된 절차를 따르실 수 있습니다 https://ko.player.fm/legal.

On this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we welcomed Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert from Strategas to dissect the complexities of the US economy and interest rates. They offer their insights into the current inflation problem, the challenges faced by central banks, and the balancing act between supply and demand. Listen in as we discuss the risks in the labor market, the effects of bank failures, and the need to avoid a stop-and-go policy.

As the conversation progresses, we also examine the influence of AI on investing, the potential disruptions it could cause to stock-picking and GDP, and how large-cap companies stand to benefit.

In the final part of our discussion, we ponder the future of hedge funds and globalization, exploring the potential implications of a soft landing in the US economy. We discuss the possibility of inflation decreasing without causing pain in the labor market, and the prospect of a new breed of hedge fund investors emerging in the coming years.

(0:00:05) - US Economy and Interest Rates Outlook
(0:10:45) - Interest Rate Changes & Market Analysis
(0:16:33) - Market Gains Driven by Multiple Expansion
(0:23:12) - AI and Market Pullbacks in Investing
(0:39:14) - Future of Hedge Funds and Globalization

Our host, Moz Afzal:

https://bit.ly/31XbkTR

Our guests:

Don Rissmiller, Founding Partner of Strategas:

https://bit.ly/3DUqMDn

Jason Trennert, CEO and Cheif Investment Strategist of Strategas:

https://bit.ly/3YFjWeE

EFGAM:

https://www.newcapital.com/

Important disclaimers

The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possible loss of all or part of the principal invested.

This document does not constitute and shall not be construed as a prospectus, advertisement, public offering or placement of, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or solicit, any investment, security, other financial instrument or other product or service. It is not intended to be a final representation of the terms and conditions of any investment, security, other financial instrument or other product or service. This document is for general information only and is not intended as investment advice or any other specific recommendation as to any particular course of action or inaction. The information in this document does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of the recipient. You should seek your own professional advice suitable to your particular circumstances prior to making any investment or if you are in doubt as to the information in this document.

Although information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, no member of the EFG group represents or warrants its accuracy, and such information may be incomplete or condensed. Any opinions in this document are subject to change without notice. This document may contain personal opinions which do not necessarily reflect the position of any member of the EFG group. To the fullest extent permissible by law, no member of the EFG group shall be responsible for the consequences of any errors or omissions herein, or reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein, and each member of the EFG group expressly disclaims any liability, including (without limitation) liability for incidental or consequential damages, arising from the same or resulting from any action or inaction on the part of the recipient in reliance on this document.

The availability of this document in any jurisdiction or country may be contrary to local law or regulation and persons who come into possession of this document should inform themselves of and observe any restrictions. This document may not be reproduced, disclosed or distributed (in whole or in part) to any other person without prior written permission from an authorised member of the EFG group.

This document has been produced by EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited for use by the EFG group and the worldwide subsidiaries and affiliates within the EFG group. EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority, registered no.7389746. Registered address: EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, 116 Park Street, London W1K 6AP, United Kingdom, telephone +44 (0)207 491 9111.

Independent Asset Managers: in case this document is provided to Independent Asset Managers (“IAMs“), it is strictly forbidden to be reproduced, disclosed or distributed (in whole or in part) by IAMs and made available to their clients and/or third parties. By receiving this document IAMs confirm that they will need to make their own decisions/judgements about how to proceed and it is the responsibility of IAMs to ensure that the information provided is in line with their own clients’ circumstances with regard to any investment, legal, regulatory, tax or other consequences. No liability is accepted by EFG for any damages, losses or costs (whether direct, indirect or consequential) that may arise from any use of this document by the IAMs, their clients or any third parties.

If you have received this document from any affiliate or branch referred to below, please note the following:

Australia: This document has been prepared and issued by EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, a private limited company with registered number 7389746 and with its registered office address at 116 Park Street, London W1K 6AP (telephone number +44 (0)207 491 9111). EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is regulated and authorized by the Financial Conduct Authority No. 536771. EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence in respect of the financial services it provides to wholesale clients in Australia and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority of the United Kingdom (FCA Registration No. 536771) under the laws of the United Kingdom which differ from Australian laws.

ASIC Class Order CO03/1099

EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited notifies you that it is relying on the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) Class Order CO03/1099 (Class Order) exemption (as extended in operation by ASIC Corporations (Repeal and Transitional Instrument 2016/396) for UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) regulated firms which exempts it from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence (AFSL) under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) (Corporations Act) in respect of the financial services we provide to you.

The financial services that we provide to you are regulated by the FCA under the laws and regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom which are different to Australia. Consequently any offer or other documentation that you receive from us in the course of us providing financial services to you will be prepared in accordance with those laws and regulatory requirements. The UK regulatory requirements refer to legislation, rules enacted pursuant to the legislation and any other relevant policies or documents issued by the FCA.

Your Status as a Wholesale Client

In order that we may provide financial services to you, and for us to comply with the Class Order, you must be a ‘wholesale client’ within the meaning given by section 761G of the Corporations Act. Accordingly, by accepting any documentation from us prior to the commencement of or in the course of us providing financial services to you, you:

• warrant to us that you are a ‘wholesale client’;

• agree to provide such information or evidence that we may request from time to time to ...

  continue reading

108 에피소드

Artwork
icon공유
 
Manage episode 374251320 series 3450202
Guy Ellis and Moz Afzal에서 제공하는 콘텐츠입니다. 에피소드, 그래픽, 팟캐스트 설명을 포함한 모든 팟캐스트 콘텐츠는 Guy Ellis and Moz Afzal 또는 해당 팟캐스트 플랫폼 파트너가 직접 업로드하고 제공합니다. 누군가가 귀하의 허락 없이 귀하의 저작물을 사용하고 있다고 생각되는 경우 여기에 설명된 절차를 따르실 수 있습니다 https://ko.player.fm/legal.

On this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we welcomed Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert from Strategas to dissect the complexities of the US economy and interest rates. They offer their insights into the current inflation problem, the challenges faced by central banks, and the balancing act between supply and demand. Listen in as we discuss the risks in the labor market, the effects of bank failures, and the need to avoid a stop-and-go policy.

As the conversation progresses, we also examine the influence of AI on investing, the potential disruptions it could cause to stock-picking and GDP, and how large-cap companies stand to benefit.

In the final part of our discussion, we ponder the future of hedge funds and globalization, exploring the potential implications of a soft landing in the US economy. We discuss the possibility of inflation decreasing without causing pain in the labor market, and the prospect of a new breed of hedge fund investors emerging in the coming years.

(0:00:05) - US Economy and Interest Rates Outlook
(0:10:45) - Interest Rate Changes & Market Analysis
(0:16:33) - Market Gains Driven by Multiple Expansion
(0:23:12) - AI and Market Pullbacks in Investing
(0:39:14) - Future of Hedge Funds and Globalization

Our host, Moz Afzal:

https://bit.ly/31XbkTR

Our guests:

Don Rissmiller, Founding Partner of Strategas:

https://bit.ly/3DUqMDn

Jason Trennert, CEO and Cheif Investment Strategist of Strategas:

https://bit.ly/3YFjWeE

EFGAM:

https://www.newcapital.com/

Important disclaimers

The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possible loss of all or part of the principal invested.

This document does not constitute and shall not be construed as a prospectus, advertisement, public offering or placement of, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or solicit, any investment, security, other financial instrument or other product or service. It is not intended to be a final representation of the terms and conditions of any investment, security, other financial instrument or other product or service. This document is for general information only and is not intended as investment advice or any other specific recommendation as to any particular course of action or inaction. The information in this document does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of the recipient. You should seek your own professional advice suitable to your particular circumstances prior to making any investment or if you are in doubt as to the information in this document.

Although information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, no member of the EFG group represents or warrants its accuracy, and such information may be incomplete or condensed. Any opinions in this document are subject to change without notice. This document may contain personal opinions which do not necessarily reflect the position of any member of the EFG group. To the fullest extent permissible by law, no member of the EFG group shall be responsible for the consequences of any errors or omissions herein, or reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein, and each member of the EFG group expressly disclaims any liability, including (without limitation) liability for incidental or consequential damages, arising from the same or resulting from any action or inaction on the part of the recipient in reliance on this document.

The availability of this document in any jurisdiction or country may be contrary to local law or regulation and persons who come into possession of this document should inform themselves of and observe any restrictions. This document may not be reproduced, disclosed or distributed (in whole or in part) to any other person without prior written permission from an authorised member of the EFG group.

This document has been produced by EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited for use by the EFG group and the worldwide subsidiaries and affiliates within the EFG group. EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority, registered no.7389746. Registered address: EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, 116 Park Street, London W1K 6AP, United Kingdom, telephone +44 (0)207 491 9111.

Independent Asset Managers: in case this document is provided to Independent Asset Managers (“IAMs“), it is strictly forbidden to be reproduced, disclosed or distributed (in whole or in part) by IAMs and made available to their clients and/or third parties. By receiving this document IAMs confirm that they will need to make their own decisions/judgements about how to proceed and it is the responsibility of IAMs to ensure that the information provided is in line with their own clients’ circumstances with regard to any investment, legal, regulatory, tax or other consequences. No liability is accepted by EFG for any damages, losses or costs (whether direct, indirect or consequential) that may arise from any use of this document by the IAMs, their clients or any third parties.

If you have received this document from any affiliate or branch referred to below, please note the following:

Australia: This document has been prepared and issued by EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, a private limited company with registered number 7389746 and with its registered office address at 116 Park Street, London W1K 6AP (telephone number +44 (0)207 491 9111). EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is regulated and authorized by the Financial Conduct Authority No. 536771. EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence in respect of the financial services it provides to wholesale clients in Australia and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority of the United Kingdom (FCA Registration No. 536771) under the laws of the United Kingdom which differ from Australian laws.

ASIC Class Order CO03/1099

EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited notifies you that it is relying on the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) Class Order CO03/1099 (Class Order) exemption (as extended in operation by ASIC Corporations (Repeal and Transitional Instrument 2016/396) for UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) regulated firms which exempts it from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence (AFSL) under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) (Corporations Act) in respect of the financial services we provide to you.

The financial services that we provide to you are regulated by the FCA under the laws and regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom which are different to Australia. Consequently any offer or other documentation that you receive from us in the course of us providing financial services to you will be prepared in accordance with those laws and regulatory requirements. The UK regulatory requirements refer to legislation, rules enacted pursuant to the legislation and any other relevant policies or documents issued by the FCA.

Your Status as a Wholesale Client

In order that we may provide financial services to you, and for us to comply with the Class Order, you must be a ‘wholesale client’ within the meaning given by section 761G of the Corporations Act. Accordingly, by accepting any documentation from us prior to the commencement of or in the course of us providing financial services to you, you:

• warrant to us that you are a ‘wholesale client’;

• agree to provide such information or evidence that we may request from time to time to ...

  continue reading

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