최고 Phil Mckinney 팟캐스트 (2025)

1
Thinking 101: A Pause, A Reflection, And What Might Come Next 4:56

18h ago4:56

4:56

Twenty-one years. That's how long I've been doing this. Producing content. Showing up. Week after week, with only a handful of exceptions—most of them involving hospitals and cardiac surgeons, but that's another story. After twenty-one years, you learn what lands and what doesn't. You learn not to get too attached because you never know what's goin…

1
Thinking 101: A Pause, A Reflection, And What Might Come Next 4:56

18h ago4:56

4:56

Twenty-one years. That's how long I've been doing this. Producing content. Showing up. Week after week, with only a handful of exceptions—most of them involving hospitals and cardiac surgeons, but that's another story. After twenty-one years, you learn what lands and what doesn't. You learn not to get too attached because you never know what's goin…

1
Mental Models — Your Thinking Toolkit 16:38

8d ago16:38

16:38

Before the Space Shuttle Challenger exploded in 1986, NASA management officially estimated the probability of catastrophic failure at one in one hundred thousand. That's about the same odds as getting struck by lightning while being attacked by a shark. The engineers working on the actual rockets? They estimated the risk at closer to one in one hun…

1
Mental Models — Your Thinking Toolkit 16:38

8d ago16:38

16:38

Before the Space Shuttle Challenger exploded in 1986, NASA management officially estimated the probability of catastrophic failure at one in one hundred thousand. That's about the same odds as getting struck by lightning while being attacked by a shark. The engineers working on the actual rockets? They estimated the risk at closer to one in one hun…

1
Numerical Thinking: How to Find the Truth When Numbers Lie 16:36

22d ago16:36

16:36

Quick—which is more dangerous: the thing that kills 50,000 Americans every year, or the thing that kills 50? Your brain says the first one, obviously. The data says you're dead wrong. Heart disease kills 700,000 people annually, but you're not terrified of cheeseburgers. Shark attacks kill about 10 people worldwide per year, but millions of people …

1
Numerical Thinking: How to Find the Truth When Numbers Lie 16:36

22d ago16:36

16:36

Quick—which is more dangerous: the thing that kills 50,000 Americans every year, or the thing that kills 50? Your brain says the first one, obviously. The data says you're dead wrong. Heart disease kills 700,000 people annually, but you're not terrified of cheeseburgers. Shark attacks kill about 10 people worldwide per year, but millions of people …

1
The Clock is Screaming (And My Grandson is Listening) 11:49

28d ago11:49

11:49

What survives when you’re gone? I thought I knew. Then the comfortable list stopped working and everything I believed about legacy… broke. I stepped out of the shower in March and my chest split open. Not a metaphor. The surgical incision from my cardiac device procedure just… opened. Blood and fluid everywhere. Three bath towels to stop it. My wif…

1
The Clock is Screaming (And My Grandson is Listening) 11:49

28d ago11:49

11:49

I stepped out of the shower in March and my chest split open. Not a metaphor. The surgical incision from my cardiac device procedure just… opened. Blood and fluid everywhere. Three bath towels to stop it. My wife—a nurse, the exact person I needed—was in Chicago dealing with her parents’ estate. Both had just died. So my daughter drove me to the ER…

1
Second-Order Thinking: How to Stop Your Decisions From Creating Bigger Problems 22:32

1M ago22:32

22:32

98% of executives can't see past first-order consequences. Learn the 'And Then What?' framework that saved HP millions—and why it's the thinking skill separating strategic leaders from reactive managers. In August 2025, Polish researchers tested something nobody had thought to check: what happens to doctors' skills after they rely on AI assistance?…

1
Second-Order Thinking: How to Stop Your Decisions From Creating Bigger Problems 22:32

1M ago22:32

22:32

In August 2025, Polish researchers tested something nobody had thought to check: what happens to doctors' skills after they rely on AI assistance? The AI worked perfectly—catching problems during colonoscopies, flagging abnormalities faster than human eyes could. But when researchers pulled the AI away, the doctors' detection rates had dropped. The…

1
How To Make Better Decisions When Nothing Is Certain 23:06

2M ago23:06

23:06

While others freeze seeking certainty, you'll think in probabilities, adjust as evidence shifts, and act decisively on incomplete information. You're frozen. The deadline's approaching. You don't have all the data. Everyone wants certainty. You can't give it. Sound familiar? Maybe it's a hiring decision with three qualified candidates and red flags…

1
How To Make Better Decisions When Nothing Is Certain 23:06

2M ago23:06

23:06

You're frozen. The deadline's approaching. You don't have all the data. Everyone wants certainty. You can't give it. Sound familiar? Maybe it's a hiring decision with three qualified candidates and red flags on each one. Or a product launch where the market research is mixed. Or a career pivot where you can't predict which path leads where. You wan…

1
You Think in Analogies Every Day (And You’re Doing It Wrong) 26:59

2M ago26:59

26:59

Master the Mental Shortcut That Controls How You Learn, Decide, and Explain Anything Try to go through a day without using an analogy. I guarantee you'll fail within an hour. Your morning coffee tastes like yesterday's batch. Traffic is moving like molasses. Your boss sounds like a broken record. Every comparison you make—every single one—is your b…

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You Think in Analogies Every Day (And You’re Doing It Wrong) 26:59

2M ago26:59

26:59

Try to go through a day without using an analogy. I guarantee you'll fail within an hour. Your morning coffee tastes like yesterday's batch. Traffic is moving like molasses. Your boss sounds like a broken record. Every comparison you make—every single one—is your brain's way of understanding the world. You can't turn it off. When someone told you C…

1
How To Master Causal Thinking 25:04

2M ago25:04

25:04

$37 billion. That's how much gets wasted annually on marketing budgets because of poor attribution and misunderstanding of what actually drives results. Companies' credit campaigns that didn't work. They kill initiatives that were actually succeeding. They double down on coincidences while ignoring what's actually driving outcomes. Three executives…

1
How To Master Causal Thinking 25:04

2M ago25:04

25:04

$37 billion. That's how much gets wasted annually on marketing budgets because of poor attribution and misunderstanding of what actually drives results. Companies' credit campaigns that didn't work. They kill initiatives that were actually succeeding. They double down on coincidences while ignoring what's actually driving outcomes. Three executives…

1
How To Improve Your Logical Reasoning Skills 29:21

2M ago29:21

29:21

You see a headline: “Study Shows Coffee Drinkers Live Longer.” You share it in 3 seconds flat. But here's what just happened—you confused correlation with causation, inductive observation with deductive proof, and you just became a vector for misinformation. Right now, millions of people are doing the exact same thing, spreading beliefs they think …

1
How To Improve Your Logical Reasoning Skills 29:21

2M ago29:21

29:21

You see a headline: “Study Shows Coffee Drinkers Live Longer.” You share it in 3 seconds flat. But here's what just happened—you confused correlation with causation, inductive observation with deductive proof, and you just became a vector for misinformation. Right now, millions of people are doing the exact same thing, spreading beliefs they think …

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Why Thinking Skills Matter Now More Than Ever 18:54

3M ago18:54

18:54

From MIT studies to Harvard research, the evidence is undeniable: our ability to think is collapsing. Here's what you're losing—and how to fight back. The Crisis We're Not Talking About We're living through the greatest thinking crisis in human history—and most people don't even realize it's happening. Right now, AI generates your answers before yo…

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Why Thinking Skills Matter Now More Than Ever 18:54

3M ago18:54

18:54

The Crisis We're Not Talking About We're living through the greatest thinking crisis in human history—and most people don't even realize it's happening. Right now, AI generates your answers before you've finished asking the question. Search engines remember everything so you don't have to. Algorithms curate your reality, telling you what to think b…

1
How to Build Innovation Thinking Skills Through Daily Journaling 21:57

3M ago21:57

21:57

Most innovation leaders are performing someone else's version of innovation thinking. I've spent decades in this field. Worked with Fortune 100 companies. And here's what I see happening everywhere. Brilliant leaders following external frameworks. Copying methodologies from people they admire. Shifting their approach based on whatever's trendy. But…

1
How to Build Innovation Thinking Skills Through Daily Journaling 21:57

3M ago21:57

21:57

Most innovation leaders are performing someone else's version of innovation thinking. I've spent decades in this field. Worked with Fortune 100 companies. And here's what I see happening everywhere. Brilliant leaders following external frameworks. Copying methodologies from people they admire. Shifting their approach based on whatever's trendy. But…

1
The WSJ Got Quarterly Reporting Wrong 9:46

3M ago9:46

9:46

Michael Dell and his investors spent twenty-five billion dollars to buy back Dell Technologies. But they weren't really buying a company. They were buying freedom from quarterly earnings pressure. I'm Phil McKinney, former CTO of Hewlett-Packard, and I witnessed how this pressure shaped decisions for years. Today, we are exploring why the WSJ's rec…

1
The WSJ Got Quarterly Reporting Wrong 9:46

3M ago9:46

9:46

If quarterly reporting works so well, why did Dell pay $25 billion to get away from it? The answer reveals a broken system. Michael Dell and his investors spent twenty-five billion dollars to buy back Dell Technologies. But they weren't really buying a company. They were buying freedom from quarterly earnings pressure. I'm Phil McKinney, former CTO…

1
How to Get Smarter by Arguing with People Who Disagree with You 38:58

3M ago38:58

38:58

What if I told you that the people who disagree with you are actually your secret weapon for better thinking? Just last month, my wife and I had a heated argument about studio changes I wanted to make here on the ranch. Her immediate reaction was about cost. Mine was about productivity and creativity. We were talking past each other completely. But…

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How to Get Smarter by Arguing with People Who Disagree with You 38:58

3M ago38:58

38:58

How intelligent opposition transforms your thinking from weak assumptions into rigorous reasoning—and why most people miss this advantage entirely. What if I told you that the people who disagree with you are actually your secret weapon for better thinking? Just last month, my wife and I had a heated argument about studio changes I wanted to make h…

1
How to See Opportunities Others Miss 39:13

4M ago39:13

39:13

3-Stage Framework In 2005, I had a ten-minute conversation at San Jose Airport that generated billions in revenue for HP. But here's what's fascinating: three other HP executives heard the exact same conversation and saw nothing special about it. If you read Monday's Studio Notes, you know this story from the emotional side—what it felt like to hav…

1
How to See Opportunities Others Miss 39:13

4M ago39:13

39:13

In 2005, I had a ten-minute conversation at San Jose Airport that generated billions in revenue for HP. But here's what's fascinating: three other HP executives heard the exact same conversation and saw nothing special about it. If you read Monday's Studio Notes, you know this story from the emotional side—what it felt like to have that breakthroug…

1
5 Questions That Spot Breakthroughs Before They Happen 30:12

4M ago30:12

30:12

In October 1903, The New York Times published an editorial mocking the idea of human flight, stating that a successful flying machine might take “from one to ten million years” to develop through the efforts of mathematicians and engineers. Eight weeks later, on December 17, 1903, the Wright brothers achieved the first powered, controlled flight ov…

1
5 Questions That Spot Breakthroughs Before They Happen 30:12

4M ago30:12

30:12

Every industry has billion-dollar opportunities hiding behind the word 'impossible.' Learn the systematic approach that helped turn HP's PC division from $5B losses to #1 market share. In October 1903, The New York Times published an editorial mocking the idea of human flight, stating that a successful flying machine might take “from one to ten mil…

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I Evaluated Over 30,000 Innovation Ideas at HP: Here’s Why Most Failed 20:41

4M ago20:41

20:41

Your best innovation ideas aren't losing to bad ideas – they're losing to exhaustion. I know that sounds counterintuitive. After 30 years of making billion-dollar innovation decisions at HP and CableLabs, I thought I understood why good ideas failed. Market timing. Technical challenges. Resource constraints. Sometimes that was the case … but most o…

1
I Evaluated Over 30,000 Innovation Ideas at HP: Here’s Why Most Failed 20:41

4M ago20:41

20:41

Your best innovation ideas aren't losing to bad ideas – they're losing to exhaustion. I know that sounds counterintuitive. After 30 years of making billion-dollar innovation decisions at HP and CableLabs, I thought I understood why good ideas failed. Market timing. Technical challenges. Resource constraints. Sometimes that was the case … but most o…

1
How To Master Lateral Thinking Skills 32:41

4M ago32:41

32:41

A software engineer grabbed a random word from a dictionary – “beehive” – and within hours designed an algorithm that saved his company millions. While his colleagues were working harder, he was thinking differently. This breakthrough didn't come from luck. It came from lateral thinking – a systematic approach to finding solutions hiding in plain s…

1
How To Master Lateral Thinking Skills 32:41

4M ago32:41

32:41

While competitors optimize existing solutions, breakthrough thinkers reimagine entire problems. The Lateral Thinking framework ‌shifts how you perceive challenges and find hidden opportunities. A software engineer grabbed a random word from a dictionary – “beehive” – and within hours designed an algorithm that saved his company millions. While his …

1
Why ‘Fail Fast’ Innovation Advice Is Wrong 22:38

4M ago22:38

22:38

The most popular piece of innovation advice in Silicon Valley is wrong—and it's killing great ideas before they have a chance to succeed. I can prove it with a story about a glass of water that sat perfectly still while a car bounced beneath it. My name is Phil McKinney. I spent decades as HP's CTO making billion-dollar innovation decisions, and I …

1
Why ‘Fail Fast’ Innovation Advice Is Wrong 22:38

4M ago22:38

22:38

The most popular piece of innovation advice in Silicon Valley is wrong—and it's killing great ideas before they have a chance to succeed. I can prove it with a story about a glass of water that sat perfectly still while a car bounced beneath it. My name is Phil McKinney. I spent decades as HP's CTO making billion-dollar innovation decisions, and I …

1
Innovation Partnership Autopsy: HP, Fossil, and the Smartwatch Market 22:07

5M ago22:07

22:07

Innovation partnerships can create breakthrough markets—or hand them to competitors through terrible decisions. I know because I lived through both outcomes. Bill Geiser from Fossil and I had it exactly right. We built the MetaWatch—a smartwatch with week-long battery life, Bluetooth connectivity, and every feature that would later make the Apple W…

1
Innovation Partnership Autopsy: HP, Fossil, and the Smartwatch Market 22:07

5M ago22:07

22:07

Analyzing the decision traps that killed a breakthrough partnership Innovation partnerships can create breakthrough markets—or hand them to competitors through terrible decisions. I know because I lived through both outcomes. Bill Geiser from Fossil and I had it exactly right. We built the MetaWatch—a smartwatch with week-long battery life, Bluetoo…

1
Why Great Innovators Read Rooms, Not Just Data 26:28

5M ago26:28

26:28

You know that moment when you walk into a meeting and immediately sense the mood in the room? Or when a proposal looks perfect on paper, but something feels off? That's your intuition working—and it's more sophisticated than most people realize. Every leader has experienced this: sensing which team member to approach with a sensitive request before…

1
Why Great Innovators Read Rooms, Not Just Data 26:28

5M ago26:28

26:28

You know that moment when you walk into a meeting and immediately sense the mood in the room? Or when a proposal looks perfect on paper, but something feels off? That's your intuition working—and it's more sophisticated than most people realize. Every leader has experienced this: sensing which team member to approach with a sensitive request before…

1
Why Your Best Employees Are Sabotaging Your Decisions (And How to Fix It) 20:20

6M ago20:20

20:20

The $25 Million Perfect Presentation Picture this: You're in a conference room with 23 executives, everyone has perfect PowerPoint presentations, engineering milestones are ahead of schedule, and you're about to sign off on a $25 million bet that feels like a sure thing. That was the scene at HP when we were developing the Envy 133—the world's firs…

1
Why Your Best Employees Are Sabotaging Your Decisions (And How to Fix It) 20:20

6M ago20:20

20:20

The $25 Million Perfect Presentation Picture this: You're in a conference room with 23 executives, everyone has perfect PowerPoint presentations, engineering milestones are ahead of schedule, and you're about to sign off on a $25 million bet that feels like a sure thing. That was the scene at HP when we were developing the Envy 133—the world's firs…

1
3 Innovation Decision Traps That Kill Breakthrough Ideas (And How to Avoid Them) 14:50

6M ago14:50

14:50

Every breakthrough innovation starts the same way: everyone thinks it's a terrible idea. Twitter was dismissed as “breakfast updates.” Google looked “too simple.” Facebook seemed limited to “just college kids.” Yet these “stupid ideas” became some of the biggest winners in tech history. After 30 years making innovation decisions at Fortune 100 comp…

1
3 Innovation Decision Traps That Kill Breakthrough Ideas (And How to Avoid Them) 14:50

6M ago14:50

14:50

The framework for spotting billion-dollar opportunities when they look like terrible ideas Every breakthrough innovation starts the same way: everyone thinks it's a terrible idea. Twitter was dismissed as “breakfast updates.” Google looked “too simple.” Facebook seemed limited to “just college kids.” Yet these “stupid ideas” became some of the bigg…

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The $1.2 Billion Innovation Disaster: 5 Decision Mistakes That Kill Breakthrough Technology (HP WebOS Case Study) 30:05

7M ago30:05

30:05

In 2011, HP killed a $1.2 billion innovation in just 49 days. I was the Chief Technology Officer who recommended buying it. What happened next reveals why smart people consistently destroy breakthrough technology—and the systematic framework you need to avoid making the same mistake. HP had just spent $1.2 billion acquiring Palm to get WebOS—one of…

1
The $1.2 Billion Innovation Disaster: 5 Decision Mistakes That Kill Breakthrough Technology (HP WebOS Case Study) 30:05

7M ago30:05

30:05

In 2011, HP killed a $1.2 billion innovation in just 49 days. I was the Chief Technology Officer who recommended buying it. What happened next reveals why smart people consistently destroy breakthrough technology—and the systematic framework you need to avoid making the same mistake. HP had just spent $1.2 billion acquiring Palm to get WebOS—one of…

1
How AI Dependency Is Rewiring Your Child’s Creative Brain (And What Parents Can Do About It) 29:04

7M ago29:04

29:04

University of Washington researchers discovered something that should concern every parent: children who use AI to create can no longer create without it. And here's the concerning part: most parents have absolutely no idea it's happening. If you've been following our series on Creative Thinking in the AI Age, you know I've been tracking how artifi…

1
How AI Dependency Is Rewiring Your Child’s Creative Brain (And What Parents Can Do About It) 29:04

7M ago29:04

29:04

University of Washington researchers discovered something that should concern every parent: children who use AI to create can no longer create without it. And here's the concerning part: most parents have absolutely no idea it's happening. If you've been following our series on Creative Thinking in the AI Age, you know I've been tracking how artifi…

1
Human-AI Creative Partnership: How to Harness AI While Preserving Your Innovative Edge 33:42

7M ago33:42

33:42

The most innovative creators don't use AI as a replacement – they use it as a strategic partner in a carefully choreographed dance of human and machine intelligence. Welcome to Part 4 of our series, Creative Thinking in the AI Age – on strengthening your uniquely human creativity while using AI as a partner, not a replacement. In Part 1, we explore…

1
Human-AI Creative Partnership: How to Harness AI While Preserving Your Innovative Edge 33:42

7M ago33:42

33:42

The most innovative creators don't use AI as a replacement – they use it as a strategic partner in a carefully choreographed dance of human and machine intelligence. Welcome to Part 4 of our series, Creative Thinking in the AI Age – on strengthening your uniquely human creativity while using AI as a partner, not a replacement. In Part 1, we explore…

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