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Epsilon Theory is an exploration of the most powerful force in our social world - narrative. Narrative is the power of the crowd watching the crowd. It builds cathedrals, it starts revolutions, it wins elections, and it moves markets. We invite you to join our Pack in figuring it out … and putting it to work ... at www.epsilontheory.com.
Take back your vote.Take back your distance.Take back your data.How to make our way as citizens in a fallen world, with Clear Eyes and Full Hearts to make it better.Originally published November 19, 2018저자 Ben Hunt
Part 3 of a four-part series on what it means to have a polarized electorate and a monolithic market. The Fed, China and Italy are the Three Horsemen of the Investment Semi-Apocalypse. There’s a Fourth Horseman. And it will change EVERYTHING about investing.Originally published October 24, 2018저자 Ben Hunt
Part 2 of a four-part series on what it means to have a polarized electorate and a monolithic market. How do things fall apart in a monolithic market? Not with a bang but a whimper.Originally published September 4, 2018저자 Ben Hunt
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The Epsilon Theory Podcast Ep08 - Leverage and Its Discontents
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Three fund collapses in three months, even as markets hit new highs. What do the Archegos, Greensill, and Melvin Capital blow-ups have in common? Leverage.저자 Ben Hunt
Part 1 of a four-part series on what it means to have a polarized electorate and a monolithic market. Today’s note: the Age of Ridiculousness and the decline and fall of the American Empire.Originally published August 8, 2018저자 Ben Hunt
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The Epsilon Theory Podcast Ep07 - Inflation Investing
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We're going to Pack-source a slate of investment strategies for an inflationary world. Here are five tentpoles to organize and support that effort.저자 Ben Hunt
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The Epsilon Theory Podcast Ep06 - The Business of Wall Street
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Very little of investing today is buying and selling shares of common stock in individual companies. Instead, we buy and sell what Wall Street calls "products". Mutual funds, ETFs, options, REITs, SPACs, etc. Dave Nadig, who literally wrote the book on ETFs, helps us understand the history and future of the business of Wall Street.…
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The Epsilon Theory Podcast Ep05 - The Gnostic Nationalism Narrative
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Every political movement has a political philosophy, and for Trumpism and MAGA it’s the Dominion theology of the charismatic/Pentecostal church.Neither the rise of Donald Trump nor the attack on our Capitol can be understood without an examination of this faith and its constructed political narratives.Believe it or not.…
What's happening with Reddit and Gamestop and Robinhood is a revolution, but not the revolution you think. This isn't a "democratization" of Wall Street. You were played. Again. It's a revolution in Common Knowledge. And that changes everything. Again.저자 Ben Hunt
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The Epsilon Theory Podcast Ep03 - The Ireland Event
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Rusty and I discuss the dramatic spike in Covid cases in Ireland over the last two weeks of December, and the risk of seeing a similar "Ireland Event" here in the US.저자 Ben Hunt
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The Epsilon Theory Podcast Ep02 - Personal Finance
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A conversation with Brian Portnoy, author of The Geometry of Wealth, about the role of money in shaping a life of meaning. How do we give better advice about money to others ... and to ourselves?저자 Ben Hunt
Can Bitcoin preserve its revolutionary potential after a Wall Street bear hug?저자 Ben Hunt
On this special episode of the Epsilon Theory podcast, we share an excerpt from a conference call we recorded on February 13 discussing our thoughts on the market selloff earlier in the month. You’ll hear from Christopher Guptill, co-CEO and chief investment officer at Broadmark Asset Management and Dr. Ben Hunt, author of Epsilon Theory.…
On episode 26 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, we welcome back Rusty Guinn, our executive vice president of asset management, to talk about political markets — a topic just as important to Ben as capital markets. Be sure to also check out the companion pieces to this podcast on the Epsilon Theory website: “Always Go To the Funeral,” “Sheep Logic,” an…
On episode 25 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, we’re joined by Peter Cecchini, Chief Market Strategist, Head of Equity Derivatives and Cross-Asset Strategy at Cantor Fitzgerald, to discuss one of his recent notes, “Failure to Inflate.” As Peter writes, “The theories that guide monetary policy fail to explain why growth and inflation remain so low in …
We're back with episode 24 of the Epsilon Theory podcast! Ben shares his thoughts on the inflation narrative and a new idea reminiscent of C-SPAN to make politics at every level more transparent and engaging.저자 Ben Hunt
On episode 23 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, we’ve assembled the all-star team – Jeremy Radcliffe (Salient’s President), Rusty Guinn (Salient’s EVP of Asset Management), Neville Crawley (Founder & CEO of Engram Labs) and of course, Dr. Ben Hunt – to discuss whether we are at the inflection point when the proverbial punch bowl is taken away, and, as…
On episode 22 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, we’re in Las Vegas at the 2017 EQDerivatives conference. Both Dr. Ben Hunt and our guest, Devin Anderson, managing director in equity derivative sales at Deutsche Bank, were speakers at the event this year. In a nod to David McCullough’s 2015 book, The Wright Brothers, this episode explores whether the u…
On episode 21 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by Brad McMillan, CFA, CAIA, the chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network®. Brad graciously hosts us at Commonwealth’s headquarters in Waltham, Massachusetts. Ben and Brad talk about their mutual love for Terry Pratchett, narrative causality, the French elections,…
By the time we got to episode 20 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, change was bound to happen. Coming to you from our New York office, Dr. Ben Hunt and producer Michael talk about changes to the Epsilon Theory website, Ben’s role, and the entire political system.저자 Ben Hunt
On episode 19 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by Rusty Guinn, Salient’s executive vice president of asset management. Picking up from their last conversation on fake news, Ben and Rusty consider the kinds of information that we have at our disposal and if we are asking the right questions in our analysis — or just searching fo…
On episode 18 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by Neville Crawley, the former CEO of Quid, Inc., a data intelligence software company based in San Francisco. Dr. Hunt and Neville speak about advancements in big data and big compute, and the potential to further impact investing.저자 Ben Hunt
On episode 17, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined once again by Downtown Josh Brown. He’s an author, CNBC contributor, and CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The last time Josh joined the podcast was right after the first presidential debate. With the election and inauguration behind us, now what? Ben and Josh take on the proposed 2017 Fed rate hikes, the pote…
A new year and a new president. On episode 16, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by Rusty Guinn, executive vice president of asset management at Salient, to explore when the media morphed from agent to principal.저자 Ben Hunt
On episode 15 and the last of 2016, host Dr. Ben Hunt answers listeners’ questions about the Eurozone and what’s next in Italy, OPEC, and rates.저자 Ben Hunt
On episode 14 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by Salient President and Chief Strategy Officer Jeremy Radcliffe and co-CEO, Chief Investment Officer, and Portfolio Manager from Broadmark Asset Management, Chris Guptill. As they explore how a Trump presidency might be similar to Reagan’s presidency and what a “no” vote in Italy …
On episode 13 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined in San Antonio by Grant Williams, founder and publisher of Things That Make You Go Hmmm… and co-founder of Real Vision TV. It’s the day after the 2016 presidential election and time to explore how and why Trump won, what it might mean for markets, and where Dr. Hunt and Grant are t…
On episode 12 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt takes a trip down memory lane to look back on the cause of the 2008 financial crisis. He applies those lessons to today’s markets and upcoming election, and nostalgically shares what might boost his spirits.저자 Ben Hunt
On episode 11 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by two of his daughters, Hannah Hunt and Harper Hunt, to find out if they have an anthem this election season: a rousing cause or political movement about which they feel passionate. They also discuss the role of government and if their difference of opinion is a result of a genera…
On episode 10 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by Joshua Brown, author, CNBC contributor, and CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management. Ben and Josh discuss their reaction to the first presidential debate and what it would mean to have a President Clinton or a President Trump.저자 Ben Hunt
We’re back in Houston on Episode 9 of the Epsilon Theory podcast. Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by Salient’s chief investment officer Lee Partridge and deputy CIO Rusty Guinn to discuss Ben’s latest note, fiscal reform, and what to do as investors in volatile markets.저자 Ben Hunt
Live from New York in episode 8 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, host Dr. Ben Hunt tackles LIBOR, the money market, and explores magical thinking and why the Fed and other central banks display symptoms of this activity.저자 Ben Hunt
On episode seven of the Epsilon Theory podcast, host Dr. Ben Hunt is joined in San Francisco by Salient's president Jeremy Radcliffe and deputy CIO Rusty Guinn to talk journalism, the coup in Turkey, and election politics. Producer Michael Corrao concludes with a surprise for Ben to celebrate the three year anniversary of Epsilon Theory.…
On episode six of the Epsilon Theory podcast, host Dr. Ben Hunt is joined again by Salient deputy chief investment officer Rusty Guinn to talk about an observable shift among equity and fixed income investors, intellectual property, and Dungeons & Dragons.저자 Ben Hunt
On episode five of the Epsilon Theory podcast, host Dr. Ben Hunt riffles through the mailbag to answer reader questions. Join the conversation and subscribe to Epsilon Theory newsletters or this podcast on iTunes.저자 Ben Hunt
On a special episode of the Epsilon Theory podcast, hosts Dr. Ben Hunt and Jeremy Radcliffe discuss the economic and historical context of the Brexit vote. Dr. Hunt contends that “this is a Bear Stearns event and not a Lehman moment” and explains what he thinks could lead to a systemic shock to markets and the end of the Eurozone.…
On episode three of the Epsilon Theory podcast, host Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by Salient’s chief risk officer Rusty Guinn. Through anecdotes about Donald Trump, Mikhail Baryshnikov and David Mamet, they search for the elusive “true authenticity” in people, politics and finance.저자 Ben Hunt
On episode two of the Epsilon Theory podcast, hosts Dr. Ben Hunt and Jeremy Radcliffe examine why the once-trusted models in finance and politics are broken and what this means for central bank policy and the upcoming U.S. election.저자 Ben Hunt
In episode one of the Epsilon Theory podcast, hosts Dr. Ben Hunt and Jeremy Radcliffe discuss the origins of Epsilon Theory, how Dr. Hunt came aboard Salient in 2013, and why game theory can be used to more skillfully understand markets and politics.저자 Ben Hunt
