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1837: Interest Rate Shock: What It Means For The Housing Market, Eric Basmajian Part 1
저장한 시리즈 ("피드 비활성화" status)
When? This feed was archived on July 11, 2022 17:22 (). Last successful fetch was on June 06, 2022 18:04 ()
Why? 피드 비활성화 status. 잠시 서버에 문제가 발생해 팟캐스트를 불러오지 못합니다.
What now? You might be able to find a more up-to-date version using the search function. This series will no longer be checked for updates. If you believe this to be in error, please check if the publisher's feed link below is valid and contact support to request the feed be restored or if you have any other concerns about this.
Manage episode 327249362 series 1170092
Jason is back from a few speaking engagements at Clever Investor Live and Fund Launch Live. He also learned how to do live streaming well and will be applying this new knowledge in his upcoming LIVE events so stay tuned! But today Jason talks about headwinds and tailwinds in the current housing market.
And for today's guest, Jason welcomes Eric Basmajian, economic analyst and founder of EPB Macro Research. Jason and Eric discuss the rapid decline in real personal income and standard of living, how the rate shock will filter through to the housing market and much more. Eric also talks about the single most important variable to understand where the next 10 years of the real estate market are going and the four corners of an economy: income, consumption, employment and production.
How far do our dollars actually go and how do we measure the standard of living in real terms? Eric looks for inflection points in long term economic cycles, what he calls secular economic trends, and cyclical trends to better position people for what's on the other side. We now have a rate shock being pushed onto the private sector which will cause a lot of problems as it filters through to the housing sector. So if you have no new home sales, or no new construction, and you have no existing home sales, how is that going to impact employment in the construction sector? How is that going to impact hours worked or hourly earnings in the construction sector? And as higher costs are being pushed onto the private sector, whether it's construction, food or gas prices, we're seeing a rapid decline in real personal income.
Eric Basmajian is an economic analyst providing research on the most critical secular and cyclical economic trends impacting interest rates and asset prices.
Learn about Eric's secular and cyclical framework: https://www.epbmacroresearch.com/
Watch the video HERE.
Key Takeaways:
Jason's Editorial
1:26 Introduction
1:51 Back from Las Vegas and Salt Lake City- a brief report
3:23 More predictions and how to think like da Vinci
4:42 Turning Point- but who cares? A non-binary approach to investing
6:51 Is the market signaling a RED light?
7:15 Raffle Giveaway Winners! John M. and Alexwkee to claim your prize go toJasonHartman.com/Ask.
9:29 Headwinds
15:17 Tailwinds
Eric Basmajian Interview
17:37 Welcome Eric Basmajian, founder of EPB Macro Research
18:29 The Fed and increasing rates - did they panic?
22:43 Are we in for a 30 year housing shortage?
25:53 Homes for sale and permits for new construction
28:09 Higher costs pushed onto the private sector
30:53 As private borrowing rates increase, result will be a huge pullback in spending
32:48 Savings rate has come down substantially
34:02 The Consumer Price Index is understated
36:02 Almost no first time buyer market anymore
38:36 Working age demographics around the world
Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
Free Report on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Jason’s TV Clips: https://vimeo.com/549444172
Free Class: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect
Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron
What do Jason’s clients say? http://JasonHartmanTestimonials.com
Contact our Investment Counselors at: www.JasonHartman.com
Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos
Free white paper on the Hartman Comparison Index™
Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization
Jason’s videos in his other sites:
197 에피소드
저장한 시리즈 ("피드 비활성화" status)
When? This feed was archived on July 11, 2022 17:22 (). Last successful fetch was on June 06, 2022 18:04 ()
Why? 피드 비활성화 status. 잠시 서버에 문제가 발생해 팟캐스트를 불러오지 못합니다.
What now? You might be able to find a more up-to-date version using the search function. This series will no longer be checked for updates. If you believe this to be in error, please check if the publisher's feed link below is valid and contact support to request the feed be restored or if you have any other concerns about this.
Manage episode 327249362 series 1170092
Jason is back from a few speaking engagements at Clever Investor Live and Fund Launch Live. He also learned how to do live streaming well and will be applying this new knowledge in his upcoming LIVE events so stay tuned! But today Jason talks about headwinds and tailwinds in the current housing market.
And for today's guest, Jason welcomes Eric Basmajian, economic analyst and founder of EPB Macro Research. Jason and Eric discuss the rapid decline in real personal income and standard of living, how the rate shock will filter through to the housing market and much more. Eric also talks about the single most important variable to understand where the next 10 years of the real estate market are going and the four corners of an economy: income, consumption, employment and production.
How far do our dollars actually go and how do we measure the standard of living in real terms? Eric looks for inflection points in long term economic cycles, what he calls secular economic trends, and cyclical trends to better position people for what's on the other side. We now have a rate shock being pushed onto the private sector which will cause a lot of problems as it filters through to the housing sector. So if you have no new home sales, or no new construction, and you have no existing home sales, how is that going to impact employment in the construction sector? How is that going to impact hours worked or hourly earnings in the construction sector? And as higher costs are being pushed onto the private sector, whether it's construction, food or gas prices, we're seeing a rapid decline in real personal income.
Eric Basmajian is an economic analyst providing research on the most critical secular and cyclical economic trends impacting interest rates and asset prices.
Learn about Eric's secular and cyclical framework: https://www.epbmacroresearch.com/
Watch the video HERE.
Key Takeaways:
Jason's Editorial
1:26 Introduction
1:51 Back from Las Vegas and Salt Lake City- a brief report
3:23 More predictions and how to think like da Vinci
4:42 Turning Point- but who cares? A non-binary approach to investing
6:51 Is the market signaling a RED light?
7:15 Raffle Giveaway Winners! John M. and Alexwkee to claim your prize go toJasonHartman.com/Ask.
9:29 Headwinds
15:17 Tailwinds
Eric Basmajian Interview
17:37 Welcome Eric Basmajian, founder of EPB Macro Research
18:29 The Fed and increasing rates - did they panic?
22:43 Are we in for a 30 year housing shortage?
25:53 Homes for sale and permits for new construction
28:09 Higher costs pushed onto the private sector
30:53 As private borrowing rates increase, result will be a huge pullback in spending
32:48 Savings rate has come down substantially
34:02 The Consumer Price Index is understated
36:02 Almost no first time buyer market anymore
38:36 Working age demographics around the world
Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
Free Report on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Jason’s TV Clips: https://vimeo.com/549444172
Free Class: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect
Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron
What do Jason’s clients say? http://JasonHartmanTestimonials.com
Contact our Investment Counselors at: www.JasonHartman.com
Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos
Free white paper on the Hartman Comparison Index™
Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization
Jason’s videos in his other sites:
197 에피소드
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